1. 成都信息工程大学大气科学学院,四川,成都,610225
2.
3. 中山大学大气科学学院,广东,珠海,519082
纸质出版日期:2019,
网络出版日期:2019-9-25,
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张少婷, 王东海, 于星, 等. 雷达和卫星资料同化在一次华南暴雨预报中的应用[J]. 中山大学学报(自然科学版)(中英文), 2019,58(5):80-93.
ZHANG Shaoting, WANG Donghai, YU Xing, et al. Application of radar and satellite data assimilation in a rainstorm forecast in Southern China[J]. Acta Scientiarum Naturalium Universitatis SunYatseni, 2019,58(5):80-93.
张少婷, 王东海, 于星, 等. 雷达和卫星资料同化在一次华南暴雨预报中的应用[J]. 中山大学学报(自然科学版)(中英文), 2019,58(5):80-93. DOI: 10.13471/j.cnki.acta.snus.2019.05.011.
ZHANG Shaoting, WANG Donghai, YU Xing, et al. Application of radar and satellite data assimilation in a rainstorm forecast in Southern China[J]. Acta Scientiarum Naturalium Universitatis SunYatseni, 2019,58(5):80-93. DOI: 10.13471/j.cnki.acta.snus.2019.05.011.
利用WRF模式和GSI同化系统,搭建了一套可以业务运行的预报系统,实现了对多普勒天气雷达反射率和径向风、葵花(Himawari-8)气象卫星等资料的同化功能。基于本系统,针对同化非常规资料可能带来的资料应用和预报效果问题,设计了多组同化方案,对2017年7月17~18日发生在华南的一次强降水过程进行模拟分析和同化效果评估。结果表明:分别同化常规资料、雷达径向风、雷达反射率反射率、卫星资料均对预报效果有所改进,特别是同化卫星资料,可以改善系统对云水物质的分析能力,进而提高海上天气过程的降水预报。基于分类试验同化的结果,对整体同化常规资料、雷达径向风、雷达反射率和卫星资料等对温度、风向风速、相对湿度和降水等模拟技巧进行评估后发现,整体同化对强降水的发生时间和强度预报有改进,但并非在所有方面都优于单独同化某一类资料的结果。
ARW-WRF and GSI 3D-Var methods were used to build a set of operational prediction systems and assimilate Doppler Weather Radar (DWR) reflectivity and velocity
Himawari-8 meteorological satellite AHI data. Regarding problems of data application and forecasting effect of unconventional data
multiple sets of comparative experiments were designed to perform simulation analysis and assessment of data assimilation (DA) results based on a case of severe precipitation process in southern China. The results show that during the heavy precipitation period in the coastal areas of Guangdong on 17-18 July 2017
the system can grasp the scope and intensity of precipitation and the simulation of radar reflectivity. Particularly
the assimilation of satellite data has ability to analyze cloud-water materials and weather process on the sea. Assimilating conventional data
radial velocity
reflectivity
and satellite data can improve simulation tactics such as temperature
wind vector
humidity
and precipitation. However
their prediction results are not absolutely superior to the test of certain types of data.
WRFGSI预报系统资料同化雷达径向风雷达反射率卫星资料
WRF-GSI systemdata assimilationradial velocityradial reflectivitysatellite data
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