LIU Bingjun, WU LiLi, LU Wenxiu. Researches on DFA-based Extreme Precipitation Threshold in the Pearl River Basin[J]. Acta Scientiarum Naturalium Universitatis SunYatseni, 2013,52(1):136-141.
LIU Bingjun, WU LiLi, LU Wenxiu. Researches on DFA-based Extreme Precipitation Threshold in the Pearl River Basin[J]. Acta Scientiarum Naturalium Universitatis SunYatseni, 2013,52(1):136-141.DOI:
Extreme precipitation events occur rarely and are difficult to collect samples. There are still uncertainty problems with the definition of extreme precipitation threshold
which is variable and not unified. This study summarizes the uncertainties of extreme precipitation threshold based on Fixed Critical Value Method
Special Percentile Value Method and the Goodness of Extreme Value Distribution Fitting Test. In order to overcome these problems
a new method
named as DFA
has been used to discuss the physical mechanism and applicable conditions. The system dynamics-based DFA
tracks extreme precipitation threshold by analyzing the characteristics of long range correlation of the precipitation series and can well reflect the statistical effects and scientific background of precipitation series.It is applicable to define extreme precipitation threshold within a basin.
关键词
珠江流域极端降水阈值DFA方法
Keywords
the Pearl River basinextreme precipitationthresholddetrended fluctuation analysis