1. 中山大学水资源与环境研究中心,广东,广州,510275
2.
3. 华南地区水循环与水安全广东普通高校重点实验室,广东,广州,510275
纸质出版日期:2015,
网络出版日期:2015-9-25,
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赖成光, 王兆礼, 陈晓宏, 等. 基于Ant-Miner的洪灾风险区划模型及应用[J]. 中山大学学报(自然科学版)(中英文), 2015,54(5):122-129.
LAI Chengguang, WANG Zhaoli, CHEN Xiaohong, et al. Flood Risk Zoning Model Based on Ant-Miner and Its Application[J]. Acta Scientiarum Naturalium Universitatis SunYatseni, 2015,54(5):122-129.
应用蚁群优化算法(Ant Colony Optimization
ACO)进行规则挖掘是一个新的研究热点。为解决指标变量与风险级别间非线性关系,提出一种基于蚁群规则挖掘算法(AntMiner)的洪灾风险区划模型。在GIS技术支持下,将该模型应用于北江流域洪灾风险区划实例中,结果表明:① Ant-Miner模型可挖掘15条适合研究区的洪灾风险分类规则,这些规则以简单的条件语句形式表现,便于生成风险区划图;② Ant-Miner模型测试精度(95.1%)高于相同条件下BP神经网络模型的精度(92.9%),表明其分类性能更好,对洪灾风险区划具有更好的适用性;③ 研究区高风险区主要集中于降雨量较大、地势平缓低洼、人口财产密集的地区,与历史洪灾风险情况较吻合,表明所构建的模型科学合理,可为流域洪灾风险评价提供了新思路。
Using Ant Colony Optimization (ACO) to mine rules is a research hotspot nowadays. This paper proposed a new zoning model of flood risk based on ant colony rule mining algorithm (Ant-Miner) to solve the non-linear relationship between index and flood risk grade. The model was used in the Beijiang River basin with the support of GIS technique. The assessment results show that ① 15 simple rules expressed in the form of conditional statement were mined by the AntMiner model. The rules are appropriate for the study areas and can be easily used for generating a zoning map of flood disaster risk. ② The test accuracy is 95.1% in the Ant-Miner model
92.9% in BP neural network model
indicating that the discriminative capability and flood risk zoning applicability of the former is stronger than the latter. ③ The high risk areas identified by Ant-Miner are mainly located in the regions with large precipitation
flat and low-lying terrain and dense population and property. These areas match well with the submerged areas of historical flood disasters
indicating that the AntMiner model is reasonable and practicable and can provide a new method for flood risk assessment.
洪灾风险区划蚁群优化算法规则挖掘北江流域
flood disasterrisk zoningant colony optimizationrule miningthe Beijiang River basin
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