1. 上海工程技术大学管理学院,上海,201600
2.
纸质出版日期:2017,
网络出版日期:2017-3-25,
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艾蔚, 朱萌. 基于随机死亡率的个人账户制度重构[J]. 中山大学学报(自然科学版)(中英文), 2017,56(2):26-35.
AI Wei, ZHU Meng. Re-construction scheme of individual retirement account from the point of stochastic mortality[J]. Acta Scientiarum Naturalium Universitatis SunYatseni, 2017,56(2):26-35.
收益率、死亡率与养老金调整比率是任一代际个人账户收支平衡的关键因素。在现行制度条件下,个人账户收益率前低后高,形成以生存为前提的看涨期权,死亡率下降以长寿补贴的形式存在,个人账户养老金跟随基础养老金调整,这些导致任一代际的个人账户都是收不抵支的,因而个人账户整体也将收支失衡。将在代际账户代际账户由Auer Bach等(1991
1994)引入,这里的涵义为特定一代个人账户积累额与给付额之间的差异,由于个人账户不具备互济特征,所有当前和未来的代际账户必须为零,否则,在没有外部融资渠道的条件下,个人账户无法实现收支平衡。 角度下,重构收益率、死亡率与养老金调整比率之间的关系,如引入随机死亡率并设置动态计发月份表、调整个人账户养老投资收益方式等,构筑个人账户可持续发展的微观基础,实现个人账户向积累制的回归,并以交叉替代率作为衡量调整前后制度优劣的标准。最后对个人账户重构后的制度接续进行可行性方案分析。
Yield rate
mortality rate and pension adjustment rate are important for the equilibrium of any generational account in the individual retirement account. Now the yield rate is low in working period and high in retirement period
it is similar to option on the premise of survival. With the constant mortality rate and excessive rate of pension adjustment
all generational accounts have run into the deficit risk. As a result
the individual retirement account in basic old-age insurance is unbalanced. Based on generational accounts
the relation within yield rate
mortality rate and pension adjustment rate will be optimized. The dynamic mortality rate is used to design new withdrawals ratio table. With market return rate and benefit of index annuity
the new individual retirement account system will transform into funded system stably and be with the capacity of sustainable development. The old and new crossed replacement rates can be used to show the stabilization of system transformation. At last
the feasibility plan to realize the system transformation is designed.
个人账户收益率死亡率待遇调整比率交叉替代率
individual accountyield ratemortality raterate of pension adjustmentcrossed replacement rate
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