LIU Bingjun, QIU Kaihua, LIAO Yeying. Non-stationary flood frequency analysis of North River and West River Delta with time-varying moments[J]. Acta Scientiarum Naturalium Universitatis SunYatseni, 2016,55(4):130-135.
LIU Bingjun, QIU Kaihua, LIAO Yeying. Non-stationary flood frequency analysis of North River and West River Delta with time-varying moments[J]. Acta Scientiarum Naturalium Universitatis SunYatseni, 2016,55(4):130-135.DOI:
The time-varying moment (TVM) was used to analyze the non-stationary flood frequency in the North River and West River Delta and its response to the changing environment using the annual peak discharge records of Makou and Sanshui stations from 1960 to 2009. In comparison with traditional frequency analysis
TVM takes into consideration of varying characteristic parameters of hydrological time series and therefore gives better results reflecting the evolution character on the changing environment. The return period decreases with the appointed design discharges
while the design discharge increases significantly with the appointed return period
which is consistent with the phenomenon of more and more extreme hydrologic events in the North River and West River Delta in recent years.
关键词
西北江三角洲洪水频率非一致性时变矩
Keywords
North River and West River Deltaflood frequency analysisnon-stationary runoff seriestime-varying moments