The spatial-temporal variations of extreme temperatures in the Qinling-Daba mountains and adjacent areas during 1960-2017

LI Fumin; YIN Shuyan; YIN Tianyuan

doi:10.13471/j.cnki.acta.snus.2019.11.14.2019D048

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The spatial-temporal variations of extreme temperatures in the Qinling-Daba mountains and adjacent areas during 1960-2017

Research articles | 更新时间：2023-11-01

- The spatial-temporal variations of extreme temperatures in the Qinling-Daba mountains and adjacent areas during 1960-2017
- Acta Scientiarum Naturalium Universitatis Sunyatseni Vol. 59, Issue 6, Pages: 80-92(2020)
- 作者机构：
  
  陕西师范大学地理科学与旅游学院，陕西西安 710119
- 作者简介：
- 基金信息：
- DOI：10.13471/j.cnki.acta.snus.2019.11.14.2019D048
  CLC： P467
- Published：25 November 2020，
  
  Received：25 November 2019，
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李富民,殷淑燕,殷田园.1960~2017年秦巴山地及邻近区域极端气温时空变化特征[J].中山大学学报(自然科学版),2020,59(06):80-92.

LI Fumin,Shuyan YIN,YIN Tianyuan.The spatial-temporal variations of extreme temperatures in the Qinling-Daba mountains and adjacent areas during 1960-2017[J].Acta Scientiarum Naturalium Universitatis Sunyatseni,2020,59(06):80-92.
李富民,殷淑燕,殷田园.1960~2017年秦巴山地及邻近区域极端气温时空变化特征[J].中山大学学报(自然科学版),2020,59(06):80-92. DOI： 10.13471/j.cnki.acta.snus.2019.11.14.2019D048.

LI Fumin,Shuyan YIN,YIN Tianyuan.The spatial-temporal variations of extreme temperatures in the Qinling-Daba mountains and adjacent areas during 1960-2017[J].Acta Scientiarum Naturalium Universitatis Sunyatseni,2020,59(06):80-92. DOI： 10.13471/j.cnki.acta.snus.2019.11.14.2019D048.

摘要

基于1960~2017年秦巴山地及邻近区域47个气象站点逐日气温资料，利用线性倾向估计、最小二乘法、Manna-Mendal突变检验等分析该地区极端气温的时空变化特征。结果表明：1）近58年来极端气温极值指数、夏季日数、热夜日数、暖昼（夜）日数、热持续日数、生物生长季日数呈增加趋势，极端低温指数呈减小趋势。2）极端气温空间变化差异显著。秦岭以北、东部地区极端气温指数对气候变化的响应较秦岭南部与西部更为明显。秦岭以北的冰冻日数、霜冻日数、冷昼日数呈下降趋势，秦岭东部、北部区的夏季日数、暖昼（夜）日数和热持续日数呈上升趋势。3）相关分析表明，极值指数和DTR与其他指数相关性差，其余极端指数存在良好的相关性。同时多数极端气温指数变化与平均气温变化同步。4）突变分析显示，平均气温在1996年发生突变。突变前后对秦巴山地及邻近区域地区的极端气温的影响有所差异，极端高温指数增强趋势显著，极端低温指数呈现减小趋势，表明极端气温变化与区域气候变暖存在良好的相关性。5）Hurst指数结果表明，未来秦巴山地及邻近区域极端气温指数趋势呈现出同向变化特征。

Abstract

Based on the daily temperature data of 47 meteorological stations in the Qinling-Daba mountains and adjacent areas from 1960 to 2017， the spatial-temporal characteristics of extreme temperature were analyzed by using climate tendency rate， correlation analysis and M-K mutation test. The results are as follows ：（1） In the past 58 years， the extreme temperature extreme index， summer days， hot night days， warm day （night） days， heat duration days， and biological growth season days tended to increase， the extreme low temperature index tended to decrease. （2） The spatial variation of extreme temperature changes in the northern and southern Qinling Mountains is significant； the extreme temperature index in the northern and eastern Qinling Mountains increased in response to climate change more obviously than in the southern and western Qinling Mountains. The number of freezing days， frost days and cold days in the northern and adjacent areas showed a downward trend； the number of summer days， warm days （nights） and heat-sustaining days in the eastern and northern Qinling Mountains showed an upward trend. （3） The average temperature changed suddenly in 1996. The effects of extreme temperature events on the northern and southern Qinling Mountains were different. The extreme high temperature index showed a significant increase trend， and the extreme low temperature index showed a decreasing trend， indicating that there is a good correlation between extreme temperature changes and climate warming. （4） Pearson correlation indicated that all the extreme temperature indices had a good correlation， except for the extreme indices. （5） The Hurst index results show the same direction change trend of extreme temperature index in the northern and southern Qinling Mountains.

关键词

极端气温指数趋势变化空间差异秦巴山地及邻近区域

Keywords

extreme temperature indextrend changespatial differencethe northern and southern Qinling mountains

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