Study on Fractal Characteristics of Runoff Time Series in the Beijiang River
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Study on Fractal Characteristics of Runoff Time Series in the Beijiang River
Acta Scientiarum Naturalium Universitatis SunYatseniVol. 50, Issue 5, Pages: 148-152(2011)
作者机构:
1. 中山大学 水资源与环境研究中心,广东,广州,510275
2. 2广东省东莞市水务局,广东,东莞,523888
3. 3 华南地区水循环与水安全广东省教育厅重点实验室,广东,广州,510275
4. 4华南师范大学 地理科学学院,广东,广州,510631
5. 5 东莞理工学院 化学与环境工程学院, 东莞,广州,523808
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Published:2011,
Published Online:25 September 2011,
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Study on Fractal Characteristics of Runoff Time Series in the Beijiang River. [J]. Acta Scientiarum Naturalium Universitatis SunYatseni 50(5):148-152(2011)
DOI:
Study on Fractal Characteristics of Runoff Time Series in the Beijiang River. [J]. Acta Scientiarum Naturalium Universitatis SunYatseni 50(5):148-152(2011)DOI:
Study on Fractal Characteristics of Runoff Time Series in the Beijiang River
The runoff time series is characterized by complexity and uncertainty. R/S analysis and multifractal method were used to analyze the data collected from 1954 to 2006 at Shijiao hydrology station of the Beijiang River in this paper.Results show that the Hurst index of Shijiao station is largely higher than 0.5
indicating that the average annual runoff time series has obvious trend components
namely the average annual runoff of the Beijiang River shows obvious durability and longterm memory. According to the V statistical value
the average annual runoff persistence will disappear after 15-20 years. Using the multifractal method
the power spectrum and statistical moment function were analyzed. The average annual runoff of the Beijiang River is of multi-fractal features. These results are important for the runoff forecasting.
关键词
年平均径流量分形性长程记忆多重分形
Keywords
the average annual runoffFractal featurelongterm memorymultifractal