A Study on the Relationship between Tourism Development and #br#
Economic Growth in Guangdong Province Based on Spatial Statistic Model

LI Hangfei; TANG Chengchai; XU Shuhui; ZUO Panshi

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A Study on the Relationship between Tourism Development and #br# Economic Growth in Guangdong Province Based on Spatial Statistic Model

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- A Study on the Relationship between Tourism Development and #br# Economic Growth in Guangdong Province Based on Spatial Statistic Model
- Acta Scientiarum Naturalium Universitatis SunYatseni Vol. 51, Issue 5, Pages: 127-131(2012)
- 作者机构：
  
  1. ．韶关学院旅游与地理学院,广东,韶关,512005
  2. ２．北京第二外国语学院旅游管理学院,北京,100024
- 作者简介：
- 基金信息：
- DOI：
  CLC：
- Published：2012，
  
  Published Online：25 September 2012，
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LI Hangfei, TANG Chengchai, XU Shuhui, et al. A Study on the Relationship between Tourism Development and #br# Economic Growth in Guangdong Province Based on Spatial Statistic Model. [J]. Acta Scientiarum Naturalium Universitatis SunYatseni 51(5):127-131(2012)
DOI：

LI Hangfei, TANG Chengchai, XU Shuhui, et al. A Study on the Relationship between Tourism Development and #br# Economic Growth in Guangdong Province Based on Spatial Statistic Model. [J]. Acta Scientiarum Naturalium Universitatis SunYatseni 51(5):127-131(2012) DOI：

摘要

基于空间计量分析原理，选取2000-2009年广东省21个地级市的国内旅游收入、旅游外汇收入作为解释变量，国内生产总值（GDP）作为被解释变量，运用普通计量回归模型（OLS）和基于地理加权的空间计量经济回归模型（空间滞后模型，SLM），对广东省区域旅游业发展与经济增长关系进行了研究。结果表明：由于加入了地理权重，空间计量回归模型较普通回归模型能更好地解释旅游业发展与经济增长之间的关系；国内旅游与入境旅游均对经济发展起积极作用；国内旅游对经济发展的促进作用较入境旅游弱，且呈不断弱化趋势，入境旅游对经济增长的促进作用呈不断加强的趋势；最后就广东省旅游业发展问题提出了相关对策建议。

Abstract

Based on the theory of spatial statistical analysis，international tourism (foreign exchange) revenue，domestic tourism revenue and the gross domestic product（GDP）of 21 regions in Guangdong province during 2000-2009 were used to study the relationship between tourism development and economic growth．The results are as follows: The model of geographically weighted regression (spatial lag model)

with considering the geographical weight

can explain better the relationship between tourism development and economic growth compared to the model of ordinary least squares. Both the domestic tourism and inbound tourism have significant positive effect on the economic growth of Guangdong province，but inbound tourism plays a more significant role in promoting economic growth of Guangdong Province. The effect of the inbound tourism on economic growth of Guangdong province is getting more and more stronger. Finally

the cause and advice on the development of domestic tourism and inbound tourism in Guangdong province are analyzed

关键词

旅游发展经济增长空间回归分析广东省

Keywords

tourism developmenteconomic growthspatial regression analysisGuangdong province

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