Comparative Analysis on Threeparameter Probability DistributionModels for Extreme Precipitation in Guangdong Province
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Comparative Analysis on Threeparameter Probability DistributionModels for Extreme Precipitation in Guangdong Province
Acta Scientiarum Naturalium Universitatis SunYatseniVol. 51, Issue 1, Pages: 102-106(2012)
作者机构:
中山大学水资源与环境系,广东,广州,510275
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Published:2012,
Published Online:25 January 2012,
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Comparative Analysis on Threeparameter Probability DistributionModels for Extreme Precipitation in Guangdong Province. [J]. Acta Scientiarum Naturalium Universitatis SunYatseni 51(1):102-106(2012)
DOI:
Comparative Analysis on Threeparameter Probability DistributionModels for Extreme Precipitation in Guangdong Province. [J]. Acta Scientiarum Naturalium Universitatis SunYatseni 51(1):102-106(2012)DOI:
Comparative Analysis on Threeparameter Probability DistributionModels for Extreme Precipitation in Guangdong Province
loglogistic distribution and Pearson typeIII distribution
were used to calculate the different return levels of maximum daily precipitation for 85 stations in Guangdong province. The main results are as follows: 1) The results of parameter estimation indicate that there is no universally applicable extreme precipitation probability distribution model; 2) The extreme precipitation occurs more frequently in the Pearl River Delta and the coastal areas of Guangdong among which Qingyuan
Shanwei and Yangjiang are three extreme precipitation centers; 3) The return levels of extreme precipitation differ greatly between the calculations of four probability distribution models.
关键词
三参数概率分布模式极端降水拟合优度检验重现水平广
Keywords
threeparameter probability distribution modelsextreme precipitationgoodnessoffit testreturn levelsGuangdong