Study on the Uncertainty of Water Use Based on Cooperative Game Theory in the Dongjiang River Basin

HE Yanhu; CHEN Xiaohong; LIN Kairong

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Study on the Uncertainty of Water Use Based on Cooperative Game Theory in the Dongjiang River Basin

更新时间：2023-12-11

- Study on the Uncertainty of Water Use Based on Cooperative Game Theory in the Dongjiang River Basin
- Acta Scientiarum Naturalium Universitatis SunYatseni Vol. 53, Issue 4, Pages: 136-141(2014)
- 作者机构：
  
  中山大学水资源与环境研究中心∥华南地区水循环和水安全广东普通高校重点实验室,广东,广州,510275
- 作者简介：
- 基金信息：
- DOI：
  CLC：
- Published：2014，
  
  Published Online：25 July 2014，
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HE Yanhu, CHEN Xiaohong, LIN Kairong. Study on the Uncertainty of Water Use Based on Cooperative Game Theory in the Dongjiang River Basin. [J]. Acta Scientiarum Naturalium Universitatis SunYatseni 53(4):136-141(2014)
DOI：

HE Yanhu, CHEN Xiaohong, LIN Kairong. Study on the Uncertainty of Water Use Based on Cooperative Game Theory in the Dongjiang River Basin. [J]. Acta Scientiarum Naturalium Universitatis SunYatseni 53(4):136-141(2014) DOI：

摘要

为进行变化环境下区域部门未来用水的不确定性研究，引入经济学中的合作博弈理论，在考虑各用水部门组成的用水联盟机会收益的前提下，依据国家用水总量控制指标，以广东省东江流域及其各分区为例，建立了基于合作博弈的各用水户用水分解模型并对其求解，给出了研究区2020年生产、生活和生态用水的合作博弈核心，即未来流域各用水户基于用水总量控制的用水量合理分配区间。东江流域2020年生产、生活和生态用水控制量区间分别为42.61~62.89亿m

25.2~42.06亿m

和0.46~9.31亿m

。通过各用水户用水量控制指标集的确定，为用水总量控制下流域未来用水管理目标提供了重要参考。

Abstract

The cooperative game theory in economics was introduced into the analysis of future water use uncertainty of regional water use sectors. The cooperative game theory cores of productive

domestic and ecological water supply of the whole Dongjiang River Basin and its subregions in Guangdong Province were made and future water use for each sector was allocated in a form of value range based on water decomposition model involving cooperative game theory

considering water opportunity income of water alliance consisting of each water use sector under national total water use control indicator. The water consumption index sets of the whole Dongjiang River basin and its sub regions were provided

and the control amount intervals for productive

domestic and ecological water use in the Dongjiang River basin in 2020 are 4.26~6.29 billion m

4.26~6.29 billion m

2.52~4.21 billion m

0.046~0.93 billion m

respectively. This provides an important reference for future water management of the Dongjiang River basin under water volume control.

关键词

合作博弈核心用水不确定性东江流域

Keywords

cooperative game theorycorewater use uncertaintyDongjiang River basin

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Related Institution

 Center for Water Resources and Environment, Sun Yat-sen University

 2 South China Institute of Environment Sciences，the Ministry of Environment Protection of PRC

 3 Guangdong Engineering Technology Research Center of Water Security Regulation and Control for Southern China, Sun Yat-sen University

 4 School of civil and transportation engineering，South China University of Technology，Guangzhou

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