Water Resources Renewability Assessment for Pearl River Delta Based on Variable Fuzzy Sets Theory
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Water Resources Renewability Assessment for Pearl River Delta Based on Variable Fuzzy Sets Theory
Acta Scientiarum Naturalium Universitatis SunYatseniVol. 53, Issue 5, Pages: 126-133(2014)
作者机构:
1. 北京大学 城市人居环境科学与技术实验室,广东,深圳,518055
2.
3. 中山大学 华南地区水循环与水安全广东省普通高校重点实验室,广东,广州,510275
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Published:2014,
Published Online:25 September 2014,
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TAN Shenglin, ZHOU Yueying, LIANG Jianxi, et al. Water Resources Renewability Assessment for Pearl River Delta Based on Variable Fuzzy Sets Theory. [J]. Acta Scientiarum Naturalium Universitatis SunYatseni 53(5):126-133(2014)
DOI:
TAN Shenglin, ZHOU Yueying, LIANG Jianxi, et al. Water Resources Renewability Assessment for Pearl River Delta Based on Variable Fuzzy Sets Theory. [J]. Acta Scientiarum Naturalium Universitatis SunYatseni 53(5):126-133(2014)DOI:
Water Resources Renewability Assessment for Pearl River Delta Based on Variable Fuzzy Sets Theory
Water resources renewability (WRR) determines water resources sustainability. Facing the increasing serious water resources pressure over the Pearl River Delta (PRD)
this paper
constructed a multi-hierarchy and multi-index WRR assessment system and developed an assessment model based on variable fuzzy sets theory
by which the WRR level of PRD was assessed. The results show that the WRR levels of nine cities in the PRD all belong to level II
with Shenzhen and Zhaoqing being the strongest while Foshan and Dongguan being the weakest. Particularly
the WRR levels of Zhongshan
one of the nine cities
are determined by its social WRR levels and go down first then up from 2001 to 2012. The assessment results of different methods show that Grey Relation Analysis and Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation have almost the same results. Variable Fuzzy Evaluation gives results with one level lower than those of the above two methods
since it calculates membership grades more finely and inclines to give lower level assessment. Genetic Projection Pursuit Method produces unreasonable results when sample data vary tremendously
thus making it not applicable for assessment of WRR levels of the nine cities in the PRD. In addition
a stricter standard system was constructed based on national data and data of the PRD. Under that system
the WRR levels of nine cities of the PRD were all assessed as level III. The stricter assessment results are likely to promote measures to increase WRR of the PRD.
关键词
水资源水资源可再生性评价可变模糊集珠江三角洲
Keywords
water resourceswater resources renewability assessmentvariable fuzzy sets theoryPearl River Delta.