Region Difference of Economic Development in Guangdong Province Based on Spatial Statistical Analysis

LI Hangfei

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Region Difference of Economic Development in Guangdong Province Based on Spatial Statistical Analysis

更新时间：2023-12-11

- Region Difference of Economic Development in Guangdong Province Based on Spatial Statistical Analysis
- Acta Scientiarum Naturalium Universitatis SunYatseni Vol. 54, Issue 4, Pages: 164-170(2015)
- 作者机构：
  
  韶关学院旅游与地理学院,广东,韶关,512005
- 作者简介：
- 基金信息：
- DOI：
  CLC：
- Published：2015，
  
  Published Online：25 August 2015，
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LI Hangfei. Region Difference of Economic Development in Guangdong Province Based on Spatial Statistical Analysis. [J]. Acta Scientiarum Naturalium Universitatis SunYatseni 54(4):164-170(2015)
DOI：

LI Hangfei. Region Difference of Economic Development in Guangdong Province Based on Spatial Statistical Analysis. [J]. Acta Scientiarum Naturalium Universitatis SunYatseni 54(4):164-170(2015) DOI：

摘要

以广东省21个地市作为基本研究对象，以人均GDP作为衡量经济发展水平高低的指标，运用灰色预测方法、空间自相关分析及空间回归分析等方法探讨了广东省2000-2012及2018年经济发展水平区域差异的时空演化特征。结果表明，广东省各地市的经济发展水平：① 在空间上存在明显的全局空间自相关性（依赖性）特征，经济发展水平高和低的地市分别在空间上集聚；② 空间格局相对稳定，空间差异变化不大，整体空间差异先缩小后增大，珠三角地区形成了较稳定的高值（HH）集聚区域，而粤东、粤西地区则形成了稳定的低值（LL）集聚区域；③ 局域空间自相关性较弱，在时空演变过程中形成了稳定的HH显著区域——东莞，LL显著区域：梅州、揭阳、潮州；④ 预测结果显示，广东省各地市经济发展水平的空间格局较为稳定，但空间差异将进一步增大；⑤ 影响经济发展水平区域差异的主要因素有经济结构、城市经济发展水平及劳动力资源的投入。

Abstract

This paper takes 21 regions in Guangdong province as research object，and uses the index of per capita GDP to analyse spatialtemporal evolution of the economic development during 2000-2012 and 2018 in Guangdong Province by means of grey prediction，spatial autocorrelation and spatial regression. The characteristic of global spatial autocorrelation of the economic development level of different regions in Guangdong is obvious and the region difference of economic development in Guangdong is relatively small. The spatial pattern of region economic development in Guangdong is stable and the spatial difference is relatively small. The local spatial autocorrelation of the economic development level of different regions in Guangdong is not obvious and different gather centers have been formed. The spatial difference of economic development is influenced mainly by economic structure，urbanization economic development level and human resources．

关键词

区域差异空间自相关空间回归分析灰色预测广东省

Keywords

region differencespatial autocorrelationspatial regressiongrey predictionGuangdong province

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