Comparison of extreme precipitation events in early and latter rainy seasons over South China
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Comparison of extreme precipitation events in early and latter rainy seasons over South China
Acta Scientiarum Naturalium Universitatis SunYatseniVol. 57, Issue 1, Pages: 83-92(2018)
作者机构:
1. 中山大学大气科学学院,广东,广州,510275
2.
3. 灾害天气国家重点实验室,北京,100081
作者简介:
基金信息:
DOI:
CLC:
Published:2018,
Published Online:25 January 2018,
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CAI Yuexing, LU Xi, YANG Song. Comparison of extreme precipitation events in early and latter rainy seasons over South China. [J]. Acta Scientiarum Naturalium Universitatis SunYatseni 57(1):83-92(2018)
DOI:
CAI Yuexing, LU Xi, YANG Song. Comparison of extreme precipitation events in early and latter rainy seasons over South China. [J]. Acta Scientiarum Naturalium Universitatis SunYatseni 57(1):83-92(2018)DOI:
Comparison of extreme precipitation events in early and latter rainy seasons over South China
Based on the daily precipitation data collected from 50 meteorological stations in South China
the temporal and spatial variations and abnormal distributions of extreme precipitation events defined by the modified percentile method in the early rainy season (ERS) and the late rainy season (LRS) of South China from 1961 to 2014 were analyzed and possible reasons of differences were discussed by using morelet wavelet analysis and SVD method. The results indicate that the extreme precipitation indexes of ERS and LRS during recent 54 years have a significant interannual variation with 3-5 years and 6-8 years periods
respectively
and showing a trend of slight increase. The distributions of extreme precipitation index are also significantly different between ERS and LRS. The maximum anomalies of ERS are mainly in the northeast Guangxi and central part of Guangdong
but those of LRS are near the coastal areas. The possible reasons for the differences between ERS and LRS are as follows: ① The atmospheric circulation and SST anomalies in the preceding winter can be considered as important factors of the extreme precipitation events in ERS of South China. Due to the onset of summer monsoon
the strong southwesterlies carrying warm and wet air from the South China Sea merge with the north cold air at the northcentral region of south China
and convection becomes stronger
which is more prone to heavy precipitation. The increase of SST in tropical Pacific
especially over the central eastern Pacific
creates a favorable condition for extreme precipitation in ERS. ② The extreme precipitation in LRS shows no obvious relationship with atmospheric circulation features. The warmer local SST and stronger convection are helpful for tropical cyclones to move westward
which increases extreme precipitation in the coastal areas of South China.
关键词
极端降水前后汛期年际变化时空特征
Keywords
extreme precipitationearly rainy season and latter rainy seasoninterannual variationstemporal and spatial characteristics